FRANCHISE·WATCH·DESK

Sample data — illustrative, not for citation

SBA-eligible · directory code S5336 since 2020

Dave's Hot Chicken

chicken · Dave's Hot Chicken LLC · est. 2017

Dave's Hot Chicken is a fast-casual restaurant chain specializing in Nashville-style hot chicken tenders and sliders at selectable spice levels. A franchisee develops and operates restaurants with counter service and delivery, typically under a multi-unit development agreement.

Dave's Hot Chicken net unit count grew +40.7% from 20232025 per its FDD Item 20.

New to franchising? Start here

A franchise is a business where you (the franchisee) pay a company (the franchisor) for the right to open and run a location using their brand and system — think a local Anytime Fitness or Taco John's owned by a small-business owner, not the corporation.

Before you can buy in, U.S. law requires the franchisor to give you a Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) — a long legal filing covering its fees, finances, and history. The numbers on this page come straight from that document:

  • Franchise fee — the one-time cost to buy in.
  • Royalty — the ongoing cut of your sales you pay the franchisor.
  • Item 20 — how many locations opened and closed, the basis for our verdict (from Proven & strong down to Distressed — or Too new to judge).

The verdict

Not enough disclosure

Distress

6
STABLE

No verified FDD extraction to judge from. Any figures shown are labelled sample data or independent federal records.

Behind the verdict

the record, factor by factor · Item 20

hi-1.0.0
Net unit growth35%

3-yr trend · Item 20 Table 1

Strong
Exit quality25%

terminations + ceased-ops vs. all exits · Table 3

Strong
Transfer / churn15%

transfers vs. base · Table 3

Strong
Promise-keeping10%

actual vs. projected openings · Table 5

Strong
Transparency15%

Item 19 disclosure + completeness

Strong

Systemwide units

2023–2025

+40.7%
199202323620242802025

Survival record

FDD Item 20 · outlet status by year

Show the outlet tables
Status (FTC)202320242025
Outlets at start168199236
Opened323846
Transfers577
Terminations001
Non-renewals110
Reacquired by franchisor000
Ceased — other reasons001
Outlets at end199236280
Net change+31+37+44

The lender's view

SBA 7(a)/504 loan performance · FY1991–present

Banks have made 7 SBA-backed loans to Dave's Hot Chicken franchisees since 2023. Most are still open, so there is not yet a resolved cohort large enough to rate.

Charge-off rate

1 resolved · too thin to rate

Loss given default

avg. charged-off $ ÷ approved $

Expected loss

default rate × loss severity

Avg. loan · FY2020+

$1,031,285

what recent franchisees borrowed

Median time to default

approval → charge-off, defaulted loans

Lenders · FY21+ vs FY16–20

distinct banks lending

Charge-off rate by loan approval year (%)

SOURCE: SBA 7(a)/504 FOIA LOAN DATA (DATA.SBA.GOV), FY1991–PRESENT · MATCHED TO DAVE'S HOT CHICKEN BY FRANCHISE NAME · RESOLVED = CHARGED-OFF + PAID-IN-FULL

What it costs — and what it drags

FDD Items 5–7 · fees, investment, royalty

To open (Item 7)

$464K–$1.1M

all-in investment range

Franchise fee (Item 5)

$40K

upfront, one-time

Royalty (Item 6)

5%

of sales, ongoing

If a unit does this in annual sales…$1M/yr

Your figure — cross-check against this brand's Item 19 and current-owner validation.

Royalty you'd pay / yr

$50K

5% of sales, before profit

Over a 10-yr term

$500K

royalties alone, excl. ad fund

This is not profit. It's the only money the FDD actually pins down — what you put in, and the royalty you owe on every dollar of sales. Your real take-home depends on labor, rent, food cost, and ramp-to-breakeven, none of which any FDD discloses.

Build a real pro-forma for Dave's Hot Chicken with an independent CPA

Distress signals

news-sourced · bankruptcies, closures, lawsuits

FULL REPORT →
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A broker is paid by the franchisor to place you. An independent CPA is paid by you — and the job is pressure-testing Dave's Hot Chicken's numbers, including talking you out of a bad deal.

Talk to an independent CPA before you buy →
Is Dave's Hot Chicken a good franchise to buy? Health score, exit rate & costs (2026) · Franchise Watch Desk