FRANCHISE·WATCH·DESK

Verified — real FDD extraction

SBA-eligible · directory code S2659 since 2018

Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza

Food & Dining · independent · est. —

Carbone's Pizzeria is a pizza restaurant chain serving thin-crust pizza along with Italian-American dishes, sandwiches, and pasta, with both dine-in and takeout/delivery formats. It's a long-running regional pizza brand. A franchisee operates a pizzeria, running the kitchen and local delivery.

Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza net unit count declined -2.7% from 20192023 per its FDD Item 20.

New to franchising? Start here

A franchise is a business where you (the franchisee) pay a company (the franchisor) for the right to open and run a location using their brand and system — think a local Anytime Fitness or Taco John's owned by a small-business owner, not the corporation.

Before you can buy in, U.S. law requires the franchisor to give you a Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) — a long legal filing covering its fees, finances, and history. The numbers on this page come straight from that document:

  • Franchise fee — the one-time cost to buy in.
  • Royalty — the ongoing cut of your sales you pay the franchisor.
  • Item 20 — how many locations opened and closed, the basis for our verdict (from Proven & strong down to Distressed — or Too new to judge).

The verdict

Too new to judge

Distress

0
STABLE

36 franchised units over 5 disclosed years is not a track record — systems this early have realized only a fraction of their eventual failures. Judge the disclosures, not a verdict.

Exit rate · latest year

-5.7%

vs 8.2% across 146 food & dining systems

Cost to open

$151K–$328K

Item 7 total investment range

SBA loan defaults

Too few resolved

11 loans exist; too few resolved to rate

Market density · Minnesota

Thin market

-16% thinner than the national average

Behind the verdict

the record, factor by factor · Item 20

hi-1.0.0
Net unit growth35%

3-yr trend · Item 20 Table 1

Fair
Exit quality25%

terminations + ceased-ops vs. all exits · Table 3

Strong
Transfer / churn15%

transfers vs. base · Table 3

Strong
Promise-keeping10%

actual vs. projected openings · Table 5

Strong
Transparency15%

Item 19 disclosure + completeness

Strong

Systemwide units

2019–2023

-2.7%
372019372020372021372022362023

Survival record

FDD Item 20 · outlet status by year

In fiscal 2023, -2 of 35 franchised outlets left the system — a -5.7% annualized exit rate, vs 8.2% across 146 food & dining systems. Not every exit is a failure — but this is the measurable floor.

Show the outlet tables
Status (FTC)20192020202120222023
Outlets at start3636373737
Opened22011
Transfers11130
Terminations00000
Non-renewals00000
Reacquired by franchisor00100
Ceased — other reasons1121-2
Outlets at end3737373736
Net change+1+100-1

The lender's view

SBA 7(a)/504 loan performance · FY1991–present

Banks have made 11 SBA-backed loans to Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza franchisees since 2014. Most are still open, so there is not yet a resolved cohort large enough to rate.

Charge-off rate

6 resolved · too thin to rate

Loss given default

avg. charged-off $ ÷ approved $

Expected loss

default rate × loss severity

Avg. loan · FY2020+

$309,150

what recent franchisees borrowed

Median time to default

74 mo

approval → charge-off, defaulted loans

Lenders · FY21+ vs FY16–20

2 vs 5

distinct banks — pulling back

Charge-off rate by loan approval year (%)

Loan performance by state

SOURCE: SBA 7(a)/504 FOIA LOAN DATA (DATA.SBA.GOV), FY1991–PRESENT · MATCHED TO CARBONE'S PIZZERIA AND CARBONE'S PIZZA BY FRANCHISE NAME · RESOLVED = CHARGED-OFF + PAID-IN-FULL

What it costs — and what it drags

FDD Items 5–7 · fees, investment, royalty

Buying in means a $25K franchise fee (Item 5) and a total investment of $151K–$328K (Item 7). The franchisor publishes an earnings claim (Item 19) — read its methodology closely.

To open (Item 7)

$151K–$328K

all-in investment range

Franchise fee (Item 5)

$25K

upfront, one-time

Royalty (Item 6)

4%

of sales, ongoing

If a unit does this in annual sales…$1M/yr

Your figure — cross-check against this brand's Item 19 and current-owner validation.

Royalty you'd pay / yr

$40K

4% of sales, before profit

Over a 10-yr term

$400K

royalties alone, excl. ad fund

This is not profit. It's the only money the FDD actually pins down — what you put in, and the royalty you owe on every dollar of sales. Your real take-home depends on labor, rent, food cost, and ramp-to-breakeven, none of which any FDD discloses.

Build a real pro-forma for Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza with an independent CPA

Modeled risk

FDD Risk Score · modeled from the public record

Elevated

The public record puts this brand toward the middle of the systems we score — but the evidence is thin, so treat it as a range, not a number.

Risk percentile (range)

51–75 / 100

Directional

Modeled SBA charge-off

14.6%

Observed SBA charge-off

16.7%

Top drivers: System size (log units) (raises) · Item 20 exit rate (lowers) · Investment ceiling (log) (raises) · Net unit growth (raises). Thin loan history — treat this as a range, not a number. A linear scorecard built from this brand's own disclosure figures plus the federal loan record behind its franchisees; full spec and cross-validated accuracy on the methodology page. A score is context, not a verdict.

Distress signals

news-sourced · bankruptcies, closures, lawsuits

No recent closures, bankruptcies, or major lawsuits found in the news for Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza. That's a good sign — but it reflects news coverage, not a guarantee.

8 questions to ask a Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza franchisee

Built from this brand's own disclosures · take it to your validation calls

The franchisor will give you a list of owners to call. Most buyers ask whether they like it. These are the questions built from what Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza has actually disclosed — each one carries the number it came from, so you can tell whether the answer squares with the record.

  1. 01

    The system went from 37 units to 36 over 5 disclosed years. What's the explanation you've been given, and do you believe it?

    A shrinking system means fewer owners funding the ad fund and support staff you're paying for.

    FDD Item 20 · FY2019–FY2023

  2. 02

    Item 7 says the low end to open is $151K, but the average recent SBA loan to a Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza franchisee was $309K. What did you actually spend to open, all in?

    Lenders size loans to real project costs. A large gap between the disclosed floor and what banks actually fund is the most common way buyers get underfunded.

    FDD Item 7 vs SBA approvals FY2020+

  3. 03

    You pay 4.0% royalty on gross sales, plus the ad fund, before any of your own costs. On your actual revenue last year, what did you take home as the owner — not revenue, take-home?

    Royalty is charged on sales, not profit. This is the number the brochure never shows and the one your life actually runs on.

    FDD Item 6

  4. 04

    Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza makes an earnings claim in Item 19. Does your unit look like that number — and do you know which units they included to build it?

    Item 19 is legal to build from a flattering subset. Ask whether they excluded new units, closed units, or company stores.

    FDD Item 19 · 2023

  5. 05

    How many months did it take to cover your own costs, and how much cash did you burn getting there?

    Ramp-to-breakeven working capital is the most underestimated line in any franchise purchase, and the most common reason otherwise-good units fail.

    Not disclosed in any FDD — ask an owner

  6. 06

    What does the franchisor charge for that you didn't expect — required tech fees, mandatory remodels, approved-supplier pricing?

    Required spending appears across Items 6, 8 and 11 rather than in one place, so buyers routinely miss the total.

    FDD Items 6, 8, 11

  7. 07

    If your agreement came up for renewal tomorrow at current terms, would you sign again?

    The single most predictive question you can ask. A hesitation is the answer.

    Ask every owner you speak to

  8. 08

    Who else should I call — including someone who left?

    The franchisor's list is curated by definition. Former franchisees are where the unflattering truth lives, and current owners usually know how to reach them.

    Ask every owner you speak to

Want this as a checklist you can take to the calls?

I'll email you the printable version, and tell you if Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza’s numbers move — a new filing, a rising exit rate, a distress signal. Unsubscribe in one click.

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A broker is paid by the franchisor to place you. I'm paid by you — and the job is pressure-testing Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza's numbers, including talking you out of a bad deal.

Don Drummond, CPA — Virginia #43775 · what I charge

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This page is what buyers see before they call you for validation. If the record above is wrong — or right in a way the numbers can't show — say so. Corrections are checked against the filings; nothing you write is published with your name unless you agree to it.

Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza franchise questions, answered from the filings

What percentage of Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza franchises closed last year?

In Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza's latest FDD Item 20 (fiscal 2023), -2 of 35 franchised outlets left the system — an annualized exit rate of -5.7% — compared with 8.2% across 146 food & dining systems tracked here. That counts terminations, non-renewals, and "ceased operations — other reasons." There is no official failure rate, and not every exit is a failure, but this is the measurable floor.

How much does a Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza franchise cost?

Per Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza's 2023 FDD, buying in requires an initial franchise fee of $25K (Item 5) and a total initial investment of $151K–$328K (Item 7).

What royalty does Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza charge?

Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza charges an ongoing royalty of 4.0% of gross sales, per Item 6 of its 2023 FDD.

Does Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza disclose earnings (Item 19)?

Yes — Carbone's Pizzeria and Carbone's Pizza makes a financial performance representation in Item 19 of its 2023 FDD. Read it closely: franchisors choose which units and which metrics to include.