FRANCHISE·WATCH·DESK

SBA 7(a)/504 FOIA · FY1991–PRESENT · MONTANA

Subway franchise in Montana: what the public record shows

Franchisees of Subway in Montana have taken 50 SBA loans in the FY1991–present FOIA files (average $189,048). Those approved through FY2020 defaulted less often than franchise loans made in the same years nationally: 1 charge-offs among 44 resolved loans, where about 6.7 would be expected (0.1×). Subway's national ratio is 0.4×. Its latest FDD Item 20 state table reports 64 franchised outlets in Montana (fiscal 2025) — about 5.63 per 100k residents.

SBA loan outcomes · Montanavs same-year franchise loans

Loans in MT

50

Charged off (all years)

1 of 44

Loss ratio in MT

0.1×

Loss ratio nationally

0.4×

Source: SBA 7(a)/504 FOIA files (data.sba.gov), borrower state = MT. Loss ratio = charge-offs among loans approved through FY2020 ÷ the charge-offs expected if each had defaulted at the national rate for franchise loans approved the same year; 1.0× is the same. Only charged-off and paid-in-full loans count. A ratio is shown at 30+ such loans; “not clear” marks a ratio chance alone could produce. The all-years count mixes every era and is evidence, not a rate to compare. Borrowers are matched to the brand by name and SBA franchise code; some matches may be wrong or missing.

Market density · Montana vs nationalTypical density

Businesses in this industry

2,228

statewide, all operators

Per 100k residents

195.9

national 179.9

Versus the country

+9%

denser

Every business in Subway's industry operating in Montana — franchised and independent — from the Census Bureau's County Business Patterns (2023), against 2024 population estimates. Counter-intuitively, density is not a warning: across the brand-state cells in the loan data, denser markets have historically charged off less often than the thinnest (see the research page). A crowded market is usually proven demand; an empty one is often empty for a reason.

Labor cost · Montana vs nationalTypical wages

Avg weekly wage, this industry

$501

Montana, BLS QCEW 2025

National average

$537

same industry, all states

Versus the country

-7%

cheaper to staff

What Subway's industry actually pays workers in Montana, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (2025), employment-weighted across counties. This cost signal is independent of the FDD: a market can look demand-rich above and still carry a margin headwind here if local wages run hot for the sector.

Franchised outlets in Montana · FDD Item 20-6 over the disclosed window
Fiscal yearFranchisedCompany-owned
2023700
2024670
2025640
Same-sector systems with SBA loan history in Montana12 systems
SystemLoans in MTCharged off (all years)Loss ratio in MTUnits in MT
DAIRY QUEEN220 of 15——
Papa Murphy'S140 of 13——
Domino's Pizza110 of 8——
TACO JOHN'S111 of 8—18
Cold Stone Creamery81 of 3——
Firehouse Subs83 of 4—1
GREAT HARVEST BREAD CO.80 of 6——
Fuddruckers70 of 3——
Kentucky Fried Chicken70 of 6——
JERSEY MIKE'S60 of 1—11
Little Caesars50 of 4——
Sizzler Family Steakhouse51 of 2——

Other systems in Subway's sector whose franchisees borrowed in Montana. A loss ratio appears only where at least 30 loans approved through FY2020 have resolved; “—” means too few.

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