FRANCHISE·WATCH·DESK

SBA 7(a)/504 FOIA · FY1991–PRESENT · VIRGINIA

Subway franchise in Virginia: what the public record shows

Franchisees of Subway in Virginia have taken 90 SBA loans in the FY1991–present FOIA files (average $190,628). Those approved through FY2020 defaulted less often than franchise loans made in the same years nationally: 0 charge-offs among 69 resolved loans, where about 12 would be expected (0×). Subway's national ratio is 0.4×. Its latest FDD Item 20 state table reports 547 franchised outlets in Virginia (fiscal 2025) — about 6.21 per 100k residents.

SBA loan outcomes · Virginiavs same-year franchise loans

Loans in VA

90

Charged off (all years)

0 of 70

Loss ratio in VA

0×

Loss ratio nationally

0.4×

Source: SBA 7(a)/504 FOIA files (data.sba.gov), borrower state = VA. Loss ratio = charge-offs among loans approved through FY2020 ÷ the charge-offs expected if each had defaulted at the national rate for franchise loans approved the same year; 1.0× is the same. Only charged-off and paid-in-full loans count. A ratio is shown at 30+ such loans; “not clear” marks a ratio chance alone could produce. The all-years count mixes every era and is evidence, not a rate to compare. Borrowers are matched to the brand by name and SBA franchise code; some matches may be wrong or missing.

Market density · Virginia vs nationalTypical density

Businesses in this industry

15,756

statewide, all operators

Per 100k residents

178.8

national 179.9

Versus the country

-1%

thinner

Every business in Subway's industry operating in Virginia — franchised and independent — from the Census Bureau's County Business Patterns (2023), against 2024 population estimates. Counter-intuitively, density is not a warning: across the brand-state cells in the loan data, denser markets have historically charged off less often than the thinnest (see the research page). A crowded market is usually proven demand; an empty one is often empty for a reason.

Labor cost · Virginia vs nationalTypical wages

Avg weekly wage, this industry

$517

Virginia, BLS QCEW 2025

National average

$537

same industry, all states

Versus the country

-4%

cheaper to staff

What Subway's industry actually pays workers in Virginia, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (2025), employment-weighted across counties. This cost signal is independent of the FDD: a market can look demand-rich above and still carry a margin headwind here if local wages run hot for the sector.

Franchised outlets in Virginia · FDD Item 20-27 over the disclosed window
Fiscal yearFranchisedCompany-owned
20235740
20245640
20255470
Same-sector systems with SBA loan history in Virginia12 systems
SystemLoans in VACharged off (all years)Loss ratio in VAUnits in VA
Tropical Smoothie Cafe705 of 580.5×NOT CLEAR124
Quiznos5915 of 461.2×NOT CLEAR—
Cold Stone Creamery447 of 320.9×NOT CLEAR—
DAIRY QUEEN386 of 25——
Firehouse Subs311 of 19—57
Jimmy John's313 of 25——
Dunkin'231 of 16——
Cicis Pizza214 of 17——
Marco's Pizza212 of 9——
Nothing Bundt Cakes180 of 2——
Bruster'S170 of 14——
Domino's Pizza170 of 12——

Other systems in Subway's sector whose franchisees borrowed in Virginia. A loss ratio appears only where at least 30 loans approved through FY2020 have resolved; “—” means too few.

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Don Drummond, CPA — Virginia #43775 · what I charge

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