FRANCHISE·WATCH·DESK

From the filed FDD — automated extraction, check the source

2026 FDD

CARL'S JR

Burgers · parent company: not identified

Carl's Jr. is a fast-food hamburger chain known for large charbroiled burgers, fries, and shakes; this 'NT' listing refers to a specific franchise-offering variation (such as a non-traditional or new-territory format). It runs quick-service restaurants with drive-thru. A franchisee operates one or more locations under the brand.

CARL'S JR net unit count declined 6.9% over 2022–2026 per its FDD Item 20.

New to franchising? Start here

A franchise is a business where you (the franchisee) pay a company (the franchisor) for the right to open and run a location using their brand and system — think a local Anytime Fitness or Taco John's owned by a small-business owner, not the corporation.

Before you can buy in, U.S. law requires the franchisor to give you a Franchise Disclosure Document (FDD) — a long legal filing covering its fees, finances, and history. Most numbers on this page come from that document; others come from federal SBA loan records and labor and census data, each labelled with its source:

  • Franchise fee — the one-time cost to buy in.
  • Royalty — the ongoing cut of your sales you pay the franchisor.
  • Item 20 — how many locations opened, transferred and left the system, the main basis for our verdict, which rates how strong the disclosed record is, or says when the system is too new, the filing too old, or the disclosure too thin to judge.

Our rating · opinion

Proven & steady

A real track record, though with soft spots. Units fell 7% (2022–2026: 1,066 → 992); the fiscal 2026 exit rate was 4.6%, in line with the 4.7% median across 11 comparable systems (burgers).

Exit rate · fiscal 2026

4.6%

vs 4.7% median across 11 comparable systems (burgers)

Cost to open

$1.5M–$3.3M

Item 7 total investment range

SBA loan losses

Too few to rate

19 seasoned resolved loans; 30 needed

Market density · California

Typical density

12% denser than the national average

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Data as of 2026-10-29. Figures come from CARL'S JR's public FDD filings (latest: MN 2026, extracted 2026-07-22) and SBA FOIA loan records (through FY2026), extracted by us and possibly containing errors. The rating is our opinion, not investment, legal, or tax advice. Franchisor or owner and see something wrong? Report a correction — we review every request.

Buying an existing CARL'S JR? Transfer fee $2,500, resale record and asking-price check →

What each source says

FDD record · SBA loans · model · auditor

Our answer: Proven & steady

The sources broadly agree, and the verdict follows the FDD's operating record.

FDD record · Item 20

Steady operating record

Units fell 7% (2022–2026: 1,066 → 992); exit rate 4.6% (fiscal 2026) vs 4.7% median.

SBA loans · vs same-year loans

Too few seasoned loans

19 resolved loans approved by FY2020; 30 needed.

Modeled risk

Lower risk

Directional only — too few seasoned loans to check it.

Auditor opinion · Item 21

Clean opinion

Unqualified audit, 2026 FDD. Says nothing about franchisee results.

Behind the verdict

the record, factor by factor · Item 20

hi-1.0.0
Net unit growth41%

latest consecutive years · Item 20 Table 1

Weak
Exit quality29%

terminations + ceased-ops vs. all exits · Table 3

Fair
Transfer / churn18%

transfers vs. base · Table 3

Strong
Promise-keeping12%

actual vs. projected openings · Table 5

Not Disc.
Transparencynot in verdict

Item 19 disclosure + completeness · shown, not counted in the verdict

Strong

Systemwide units

2022–2026

-6.9%
1,06620221,06920231,06320241,03220259922026

Survival record

FDD Item 20 · outlet status by year

In fiscal 2026, 45 of 982 franchised outlets left the system — an exit rate of 4.6% (fiscal 2026), vs a 4.7% median across 11 comparable systems (burgers). An exit is not a failure: this counts terminations, non-renewals and "ceased — other reasons" as reported, and excludes transfers to new owners.

Show the outlet tables ↓
Status (FTC)20222023202420252026
Outlets at start1,0791,0661,0691,0631,032
Opened56975
Transfers399433125
Terminations00102
Non-renewals60140
Reacquired by franchisor00110
Ceased — other reasons124123443
Outlets at end1,0661,0691,0631,032992
Net change-13+3-6-31-40

The franchisor's own finances

FDD ITEM 21 · AUDITED STATEMENTS · 2026 FDD

Full read →

KPMG LLP gave an unmodified (clean) opinion on the statements in the 2026 FDD; revenue rose 1% from FY2024 to FY2026.

This is the company selling the franchise, not any franchisee. A clean opinion means the statements are fairly presented — not that the business is healthy.

Audit opinion

Unmodified (clean) opinion

KPMG LLP · p. 415

Revenue · FY2026

$668.6M

p. 419 · matched to statement

Net income · FY2026

$104.0M

p. 419 · matched to statement

Where FY2026 revenue came from

43% royalties

initial-fee share not extracted

Show the statement figures ↓
Fiscal yearFY2024FY2025FY2026
Total revenue$661.6Mp. 388 · matched to statement$671.4Mp. 388 · matched to statement$668.6Mp. 419 · matched to statement
Royalty revenue$292.7Mextracted · not cross-checked$288.1Mextracted · not cross-checked$285.3Mextracted · not cross-checked
Net income (loss)$108.9Mp. 388 · matched to statement$103.2Mp. 388 · matched to statement$104.0Mp. 419 · matched to statement
Cash at year endnot extracted$10.6Mp. 418$10.1Mp. 418

The lender's view

SBA 7(a)/504 loan outcomes · compared with franchise loans of the same years

Banks have made 35 SBA-backed loans to CARL'S JR franchisees since 1992. Only 19 of its loans approved by FY2020 have resolved — fewer than the 30 we need to compare it fairly with other franchise loans, so we don't rate it.

All-time, 0 of 19 resolved loans charged off (0.0%). That raw figure mixes every approval year since 1992 — loans made in 2006–08 failed at several times the rate of loans made in 2010–13 across all franchises — so it is shown as evidence, not as the score. 46% of the brand's loans have not resolved yet.

Loss vs same-year loans

—

19 seasoned resolved · 30 needed

All-time charge-off · raw

0.0%

0 of 19 resolved, every approval year

Loss given default

—

charged-off $ ÷ approved $, defaulted loans

Avg. loan · FY2020+

$1,884,317

what recent franchisees borrowed

Median time to default

—

shown with 10+ defaults

Lenders · FY21+ vs FY16–20

3 vs 2

distinct banks still lending

Charge-off rate by loan approval year (%) · dashed line = all franchise loans that year

Loan performance by state

SOURCE: SBA 7(a)/504 FOIA LOAN DATA (DATA.SBA.GOV), FY1991–PRESENT · MATCHED TO CARL'S JR BY SBA FRANCHISE NAME/CODE · RESOLVED = CHARGED-OFF + PAID-IN-FULL · EXPECTED = SAME-YEAR RATE ACROSS ALL SBA FRANCHISE LOANS, LOANS ≥ ~6 YEARS OLD

The owner's side of the deal

FDD × federal loan record

Who finances it

Too few loans to identify

Who buys it

70.4%

borrowers with no other franchise SBA loan on record

The rest already owned at least one other franchise. Across the corpus, brands bought mostly by repeat operators have charged off less often than brands sold mostly to newcomers (see methodology).

Does experience help here?

Not enough resolved loans to split

Computed from 35 SBA 7(a)/504 loans matched to CARL'S JR by SBA franchise code in the SBA FOIA file. Debt service assumes level amortization at the average disclosed term and rate. Owner-level splits rely on borrower-name matching and may misclassify. A lender's rate excludes its loans to this brand, so it reads the lender, not the brand.

What it costs — and what it drags

FDD Items 5–7 · fees, investment, royalty

Buying in means a $25,000 franchise fee (Item 5) and a total investment of $1.5M–$3.3M (Item 7). The franchisor publishes an earnings claim (Item 19) — read its methodology closely.

To open (Item 7)

$1.5M–$3.3M

all-in investment range

Franchise fee (Item 5)

$25,000

upfront, one-time

Royalty (Item 6)

4%

of sales, ongoing

If a unit does this in annual sales…$1.3M/yr

Starts at the Item 19 median of $1.3M from CARL'S JR’s latest FDD. Read which units built that figure, then check it with current and former owners.

Royalty you'd pay / yr

$52K

4% of sales, before profit

Over a 10-yr term

$520K

royalties alone, excl. ad fund

This estimate is computed by software from the brand's public filings and any inputs you enter. No CPA prepared it for you and no assurance is provided on it. Actual results will differ, and the differences may be material.

This is not profit. It covers what the FDD fixes: what you put in, and the royalty you owe on sales. Your take-home depends on food and packaging cost, labor, rent, and the months to breakeven, none of which the FDD fixes for your unit (some Item 19s include cost data — read it).

Build a real pro-forma for CARL'S JR with a buyer-paid CPA

How the earnings claim is built

FDD ITEM 19 · BASIS · 2026 FDD

The headline figure is Average Revenue for FY26 (53 weeks, Jan 28, 2025 - Jan 26, 2026), for 728 of 992 units, leaving out non-freestanding (travel plaza, c-store, college, airport, etc.), incomplete revenue data, dual concept restaurants and others. The mean is 5% above the median, so a minority of high-volume units pulls the average up.

Graded on three things the filing states: coverage (2 points if the figure covers at least 75% of the units it is compared with, 1 point for 50–75%), centre (2 points if it prints both a median and a mean, 1 for one of them), and costs (2 points for costs through a profit line or full cost detail, 1 for some cost items). 5–6 points = More complete, 3–4 = Partial, 0–2 = Limited. The grade describes the disclosure, not the business.

PartialCovers 728 of 992 units (73%) · median and mean · some costs
Show the basis ↓
What is measuredAverage Revenue (revenue)
PeriodFY26 (53 weeks, Jan 28, 2025 - Jan 26, 2026)
Whose resultsFranchised outlets
Units included728 of 992 franchised and company-operated U.S. restaurants open at end of FY26
Left out
  • non-freestanding (travel plaza, c-store, college, airport, etc.) (78)
  • incomplete revenue data (15)
  • dual concept restaurants (71)
  • outside the U.S.
Average (mean)$1.4M
Median$1.3M
Mean vs medianmean 5.4% above median
Met or beat the average334 (42.9%)
Costs shownSome cost items only
Wherep. 73 (Item 19 runs pp. 72–78)

Modeled risk

FDD Risk Score · a prediction from disclosure and loan-file features

Lower risk · directional · modeled

The model puts this brand in its lower-risk band — but this brand has too few seasoned SBA loans to check the score against, so read it as a band, not a number.

Risk percentile

Lower risk

Directional · no point estimate

Modeled · vs same-year loans

band only

too few seasoned loans to check

Top drivers: System size (log units) (lowers) · Item 3 litigation (log) (lowers) · Item 20 exit rate (lowers) · Investment ceiling (log) (lowers). Too few seasoned SBA loans to check the score — read it as a band. A linear scorecard trained on brands' vintage-adjusted SBA loss records; full spec and cross-validated accuracy on the methodology page. A score is context, not a verdict.

Public records

Bankruptcy, closure & federal court records · coverage is selective · dockets are not scored

FULL REPORT →

11 questions to ask a CARL'S JR franchisee

Built from this brand's own disclosures · take it to your validation calls

The franchisor will give you a list of owners to call. Most buyers ask whether they like it. These questions come from what CARL'S JR has disclosed. Each one carries the number it came from, so you can check the answer against the record.

  1. 01

    CARL'S JR’s own Item 20 shows 45 of 982 franchised outlets left the system in fiscal 2026 — about 4.6%. Do you know any of those owners, and do you know why they left?

    A franchisor will call these “transitions.” An owner three doors down usually knows whether they sold at a profit or handed the keys back.

    FDD Item 20 · FY2026

  2. 02

    5 units transferred to new owners in fiscal 2026. When you look at those, were they people cashing out a good business — or getting out of a bad one?

    Item 20 counts transfers as neutral, but a transfer can be a good sale or a reluctant exit — the filing does not say which.

    FDD Item 20 · FY2026

  3. 03

    The system went from 1,066 units to 992 over 5 disclosed years. What's the explanation you've been given, and do you believe it?

    A shrinking system means fewer owners funding the ad fund and support staff you're paying for.

    FDD Item 20 · FY2022–FY2026

  4. 04

    Item 7 says the low end to open is $1.5M; the average recent SBA loan to CARL'S JR franchisees was $1.9M. What did you actually spend to open, all in — and did your loan cover anything beyond the build-out?

    Lenders size loans to the project they finance. If owners say they spent near the loan figure rather than the Item 7 floor, budget from what they spent.

    FDD Item 7 vs SBA approvals FY2020+

  5. 05

    You pay 4.0% royalty on gross sales, plus the ad fund, before any of your own costs. On your actual revenue last year, what did you take home as the owner — not revenue, take-home?

    Royalty is charged on sales, not profit. This is the number the brochure never shows and the one your life actually runs on.

    FDD Item 6

  6. 06

    CARL'S JR makes an earnings claim in Item 19. Does your unit look like that number — and do you know which units they included to build it?

    Item 19 is legal to build from a flattering subset. Ask whether they excluded new units, closed units, or company stores.

    FDD Item 19 · 2026

  7. 07

    How many months did it take to cover your own costs, and how much cash did you burn getting there?

    Ramp-to-breakeven working capital is the most underestimated line in any franchise purchase, and the most common reason otherwise-good units fail.

    Not disclosed in any FDD — ask an owner

  8. 08

    Item 3 discloses 12 legal matters. Do you know what those were about, and were any brought by franchisees?

    Franchisee-brought suits over territory, fees or support tell you how the franchisor behaves when there's a disagreement.

    FDD Item 3 · 2026

  9. 09

    What does the franchisor charge for that you didn't expect — required tech fees, mandatory remodels, approved-supplier pricing?

    Required spending appears across Items 6, 8 and 11 rather than in one place, so buyers routinely miss the total.

    FDD Items 6, 8, 11

  10. 10

    If your agreement came up for renewal tomorrow at current terms, would you sign again?

    The single most predictive question you can ask. A hesitation is the answer.

    Ask every owner you speak to

  11. 11

    Who else should I call — including someone who left?

    The franchisor's list is curated by definition. Former franchisees are where the unflattering truth lives, and current owners usually know how to reach them.

    Ask every owner you speak to

Want this as a checklist you can take to the calls?

I'll email you the printable version, and tell you if CARL'S JR’s numbers move — a new filing, a rising exit rate, a distress signal. Unsubscribe in one click.

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A broker is usually paid by the franchisor to place you. I'm paid only by you, never by a franchisor you're considering — and the job is pressure-testing CARL'S JR’s numbers, including talking you out of a bad deal.

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This page is what buyers see before they call you for validation. If the record above is wrong — or right in a way the numbers can't show — say so. Franchisors: send corrections with the page reference and we will review them against the filing and update or annotate the page. Corrections are checked against the filings; nothing you write is published with your name unless you agree to it.

CARL'S JR franchise questions, answered from the filings

How many CARL'S JR franchised outlets left the system last year?

In CARL'S JR's latest FDD Item 20 (fiscal 2026), 45 of 982 franchised outlets left the system — an exit rate of 4.6% — compared with a 4.7% median across 11 comparable systems (burgers) tracked here. That counts terminations, non-renewals, and "ceased operations — other reasons" as the franchisor reported them; it excludes transfers to new owners. The FDD does not say why each outlet left, and an exit is not the same as a failure.

How much does a CARL'S JR franchise cost?

Per CARL'S JR's 2026 FDD, buying in requires an initial franchise fee of $25,000 (Item 5) and a total initial investment of $1.5M–$3.3M (Item 7).

What royalty does CARL'S JR charge?

CARL'S JR charges an ongoing royalty of 4.0% of gross sales, per Item 6 of its 2026 FDD.

Does CARL'S JR disclose earnings (Item 19)?

Yes — CARL'S JR makes a financial performance representation in Item 19 of its 2026 FDD, reporting a median unit volume of $1.3M. Read it closely: franchisors choose which units and which metrics to include.