ALASKA · SBA 7(a)/504 FOIA · FY1991–PRESENT
Franchises in Alaska: the loan record
Since 1991, banks have made 180 SBA-backed loans to franchisees of 91 brands in Alaska. SBA loans to Alaska franchisees approved through FY2020 defaulted at a rate not clearly different from franchise loans made in the same years nationally: 16 charge-offs among 127 resolved loans, where about 19 would be expected (0.8×).
Evidence, all years: 16 of 130 resolved loans were charged off (raw rate 12.3%). The raw rate mixes loans from every era, including the 2006–08 loans that met the recession, so it is not compared with anything here. Borrowers are matched to brands by name, so some matches may be wrong.
180
SBA loans since 1991
91
Brands financed
0.8×
Loss ratio vs same-year loans (not clear)
24.3
Loans per 100k residents
| # | Brand | Loans | Charged off (all years) | Loss ratio | Deep dive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Subway | 14 | 0 of 12 resolved | — | LOCAL RECORD → |
| 2 | Cold Stone Creamery | 10 | 1 of 9 resolved | — | LOCAL RECORD → |
| 3 | General Nutrition Center | 5 | 0 of 4 resolved | — | LOCAL RECORD → |
| 4 | PITA PIT | 5 | 1 of 4 resolved | — | LOCAL RECORD → |
Every SBA 7(a) and 504 loan in the FY1991–present FOIA files (data.sba.gov) whose borrower is matched to a franchise brand and whose borrower state is Alaska. Fuel-supply contracts, insurance agencies and other SBA codes that are not franchises a buyer can purchase are excluded. Totals count every such loan, including brands with too few loans here to list. The loss ratio compares charge-offs among loans approved through FY2020 (old enough that most failures have surfaced) with the charge-offs expected if each loan had defaulted at the national rate for franchise loans approved the same year; 1.0× means the same as same-year franchise loans. Only charged-off and paid-in-full loans count, so still-open loans never dilute it. A ratio prints at 30+ resolved loans; “not clear” marks a ratio that chance alone could produce. Local conditions and lender mix sit inside these numbers; read a brand's national record and its FDD before concluding anything.
A broker is usually paid by the franchisor to place you. I'm paid only by you, never by a franchisor you're considering — and the job is pressure-testing the numbers, including talking you out of a bad deal.